Avangard CapitalMonthly report · August 2026
August 2026 Report - Avangard AI Systematic Fund cover
All insights

Our Systematic fund returned -2.48% in August 2026, versus +1.54% for the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index (dividends reinvested).

Fund return · August 2026
-2.48%
Benchmark +1.54%Difference ▼ 4.02%
Unit price
$0.9707
Net market exposure
89.8%
Strategy inception
2025-01-23
Benchmark
S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index
Reporting period
August 2026

Net market exposure is directional exposure to market risk: total long market value, including long ETFs, less the short exposure of inverse ETFs and less cash, measured against net asset value at month end.

Market commentary

Avangard's Investment Overview

August was the Fund's second month of trading under the Avangard Systematic Australian Equity Fund structure. Early in the month, the model closed both downside-oriented hedge positions carried since July, positions that had been July's largest detractor as US markets continued climbing against them, and rotated the book into a broader set of individual equity positions while remaining fully invested throughout. Avangard's own breadth data continued to show broad momentum strength across US equities and our own systematic portfolios. One newly-opened position was exited later in the month after its own long-term trend turned bearish, a straightforward application of the model's trend-following discipline.

How A.L.F.R.E.D. is reading the environment

A.L.F.R.E.D. assessment
Neutral market regime
A.L.F.R.E.D. reads August as a market in transition: momentum held up broadly across US equities and Avangard's own systematic portfolios, prompting the model to close its existing downside hedges and rotate into a broader set of individual positions while staying fully invested.

Portfolio manager's note

The Avangard Systematic Australian Equity Fund returned -2.48% in August, its second month of trading, against +1.54% for the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index, an alpha of -4.02%. The ASX 200 extended its run to a fifth consecutive monthly gain during August (Market Index, August 2026), a genuinely resilient market, and the Fund captured real strength from its Materials sector positioning. That gain was more than offset by the cost of closing the Fund's hedge book and by weakness in a small number of individual positions. Materials sector positioning, specifically copper and diversified metals mining exposure, was the standout contributor, adding an estimated 0.98% to return. Avangard's own breadth data continues to show US equities and our own systematic model portfolios broadly higher on long-term trend, while domestic ASX breadth remains closer to neutral, a market that has held up rather than broken down, but hasn't broadened out either. The single largest cost this month was closing the Fund's hedge book. Early in August, the model closed both downside-oriented US equity hedge positions carried since July, positions that had been July's largest detractor as US markets continued building strength against them. Closing them crystallised management's estimate of approximately 0.76% of the Fund, and the book was rotated into a broader set of individual equity positions in the same period, remaining fully invested throughout. As of the end of August, the Fund carried no hedge against US equity downside, a position that will be revisited at the next weekly rebalance. Separately, one individual position was exited later in the month after its own long-term momentum trend turned bearish, a straightforward application of trend-following discipline rather than a discretionary call. Two conditions would revise the current stance: a rollover in US momentum would support re-establishing hedge exposure, and a broadening in domestic breadth beyond its current near-neutral split would support greater conviction in the Fund's newly-rotated positions. Neither is a prediction, they are the specific triggers the model is watching. Throughout August, positioning stayed fully within Avangard's predefined systematic investment criteria: the hedge closures, the rotation, and the trend-flip exit all originated from ALFRED's objective, rules-based signals, not a discretionary view on where markets were headed. A materially negative month despite a broadly resilient market is a real, near-term cost, and we've said so plainly above, but management remains confident in the disciplined application of that process.

Contributors and detractors

Contributors (Top 3)

Materials sector positioning (copper and diversified metals mining exposure), contributed +0.98%

Detractors (Top 3)

Hedge positioning (downside-oriented US equity exposure, closed during the month; management's estimate), detracted approximately -0.76% Technology and connectivity exposure, detracted -0.69% Health care exposure (position opened and exited within the month after its long-term trend turned bearish), detracted -0.59%

Performance summary

Strategy vs benchmark, since inception

Total returns of the Avangard Australian equity strategy against the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index.

PeriodStrategyBenchmarkAlpha
1 Month-2.48%+1.54%-4.02%
3 Months-2.57%+4.54%-7.11%
6 Months-9.39%+0.32%-9.71%
1 Year+5.95%+4.40%+1.54%
Since inception (cumulative)+8.58%+13.79%-5.22%
Since inception (p.a.)+5.27%+8.40%-3.13%

Track record stitches the closed Avangard Alpha Fund (23 Jan 2025 to its final pricing date, 25 Jun 2026) with the current Avangard Systematic Australian Equity Fund from 6 Jul 2026. Cumulative is the total return since 23 Jan 2025; p.a. is the annualised equivalent of that same return. All periods are point to point to the report month end, so trailing periods that exclude the 2025 drawdown can exceed the since inception figure. Returns are calculated from unit prices and are net of all fees, including management and performance fees. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Growth of A$1,000,000 since 23 January 2025

Month-end NAV unit price series. Strategy stitches the closed Avangard Alpha Fund with the Avangard Systematic Australian Equity Fund (NAV restarts at $1.0000 from Jul 2026), plotted against the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index.

Hypothetical growth of A$1,000,000 invested at strategy inception (23 Jan 2025), using month-end NAV unit prices. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns.

Portfolio positioning

Exposure at month end

Invested
95.1%
Cash
4.9%
Top holding
3.0%

Top 3 holdings

Ranked by weight of gross asset value at month end.

#CodeSecurityWeight
1MI6Minerals 260 Ltd3.0%
2SFRSandfire Resources Ltd2.8%
3CBECobre Ltd2.8%

Large / mid / small cap exposure

Direct Australian stock sleeve by ASX index band. Excludes ETFs, LICs and cash.

Direct stocks = 55.0% of portfolio. Bars below show the composition of that sleeve.

  • Small (ex-ASX 200)
    42.9%
  • Mid (ASX 51-200)
    29.8%
  • Large (ASX 50)
    27.3%

Portfolio breakdown

Sector uses GICS for direct stocks. All ETFs are aggregated as 'Thematic ETFs'.

Asset class

3 groups

Sector / theme

9 groups
Important information

Performance figures shown are for the Avangard Australian equity strategy and combine the closed Avangard Alpha Fund (23 January 2025 to its final pricing date, 25 June 2026) with the current Avangard Systematic Australian Equity Fund from 6 July 2026. The benchmark shown is the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index. Alpha is calculated as strategy return minus benchmark return over the same period. Strategy returns are calculated from unit prices and are net of all fees, including management and performance fees.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Returns are historical, are not guaranteed and may vary. Portfolio holdings, sector and market-cap allocations shown are point-in-time at month end and will change without notice.

This report is issued by Avangard Investments Pty Ltd (ACN 698 681 248), a corporate authorised representative (CAR No. 001321538) of FB Corp Limited (ABN 16 675 876 490, AFSL 557810), and is available to wholesale clients only under s761G of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). It is general information and does not take account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. You should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to your own circumstances before making any investment decision.